I have a few problems with this calculation

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Posted by Lokileby at fibre242.63.nas.net on January 16, 2004 at 18:33:21:

In Reply to: Just saw trailer for JG and I now know it's gross posted by DolFan on January 16, 2004 at 17:35:10:

: I am pretty good at predicting how much a movie will make in it's first weekend so here I go.

: Romance + $10 mil
~~ Okay.

: Comedy + 15 mil
~~ Fine.

: Shot of Ben and Jen - 10 Mil
: (That's being optomistic)
~~ Perhaps.

: Clever dialogue + 25 Mil
~~ Yeah but are people going to see this through the trailer? I would nudge this down slightly.

: Mention of Kevin Smith - 5 Mil
: (no disrespect, I came to that by figuring in the view askew faithful + 10 Mil and the same poor girls who have been dragged a few times to one of his fart knockin movies - 15 Mil)
~~ I completely disagree with this one. Because I don't think very many girls would turn down this movie because its got the same director name as a movie they may thought was stupid several years ago. In fact I doubt that adding Kevin's name to the film will do anything but draw those in who were a fan of him in the past but haven't thought of him lately. I would judge almost altogether remove the -15 million.

: Afflek - Wildcard
: (Usually this would be a + 10 Mil but i'm not sure as this will be billed as a Bennifer flick, unfairly I might add)
~~ I think it will be a positive thing, if only slightly. He comes off with a certain charm in the trailer. And its something you've never seen him do. At all. I think that alone will draw people.

: Cute little girl + 5 Mil
: (If it was a cute little boy it would be +15 Mil, due to the certain catholic priest patronage)
~~ Agreed

: Total $35 Million Dead Presidents.
~~ I think, judging by your criteria for this final "sum", that it is a bit low. And I hope it is indeed low, as I would like to see it make a killing.

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